ABC6 WeatherLab - Hurricane Season Update - ABC6 - Providence, RI and New Bedford, MA News, Weather

ABC6 WeatherLab - Hurricane Season Update

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We are over two months into this Atlantic Hurricane Season, so let's recap the season so far, as we also look ahead to the next few months of tropical activity. Through the first week of August, there have been two named storms in the Atlantic this season, and both of them reached hurricane status. Arthur reached Category 2 strength in early July, while Bertha attained Category 1 status as it moved out to sea in the first week of August. Compare this to last year's anemic hurricane season, where only two storms reached hurricane status for the entire 6-month season! The fact that we've already seen two hurricanes affect the East Coast this early in the season does not bode well for the next few months of tropical activity, because historically, the Atlantic Hurricane Season doesn't really get going until later in the season. You might remember back in late May on an earlier edition of ABC6 WeatherLab, I posted a "Hurricane Outlook" for this Hurricane Season. The outlook called for a below-normal Atlantic Hurricane Season, with a predicted 8 to 13 named storms, with 3 to 6 hurricanes. But this forecast was based on the premise that a strong El Nino would be in place this Summer, since El Nino Hurricane Seasons are historically weaker than normal. Well current temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean are much cooler than expected, meaning the prospects of a strong El Nino are not very good. Therefore, one could surmise that since a strong El Nino will not be in place this summer, it follows that we might be in for a more active hurricane season than previously expected.

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