ABC6 WeatherLab – 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Over the last 15 years, the Atlantic Hurricane Seasons have been more active than not. As a matter of fact, the Atlantic has averaged about 15 named storms per year over the last 15 years, including 19 named storms for three consecutive years (2010-12), where Southern New England was hit with Irene (2011) and then Sandy (2012).

The past couple years have been rather quiet for the Atlantic, and especially for SNE. Although Hurricane Arthur did bring some heavy rain to our region in early July 2014, but otherwise we’ve gone thru the past couple hurricane seasons relatively unscathed.

Looking ahead to the forecast for the upcoming 2015 Hurricane Season (June 1st to December 1st), the computer models and the hurricane experts are all saying the same thing: This is going to be another weak Hurricane Season, with only 7 to 9 named storms expected to form. One of the limiting factors for Hurricane development is an expected El Nino, which tends to suppress Atlantic Hurricane formation.

However, it is important to remember even if you have a quiet Hurricane Season, it only takes one storm to make it a memorable Hurricane Season, not in a good way. So don’t let your guard down. Just be cautiously optimistic that this will be the third consecutive “quiet” Hurricane Season.